Forecast Track Record
Every Meridian prediction, logged and resolved. Accuracy is scored as: Correct = 1pt, Partial = 0.5pt, Incorrect = 0pt. "Too Early" outcomes are excluded from the denominator.
100%
overall accuracy across 1 resolved prediction
1 correct0 partial0 incorrect16 open
By Pillar
| Pillar | Accuracy | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Power Shift | 100% | 1✓ 0~ 0✗ / 1 |
By Confidence Level
Signal score ≥8.0 → High · 6.5–7.9 → Medium · <6.5 → Low
| Confidence | Accuracy | Results | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | No data | |||
| Medium | 100% | 1✓ 0~ 0✗ / 1 | ||
| Low | No data | |||
Methodology. Predictions are logged automatically when Meridian publishes a story containing a forward-looking announcement with a pending outcome — regulatory decisions, mergers, legislation, and scheduled milestones. Editors resolve each prediction when the outcome is known. Confidence level is derived from the story's signal score. “Too Early” resolutions are excluded from the accuracy denominator. All prediction data is available via
/api/v1/predictions.