Power ShiftSaturday, April 25, 2026

US Soldier Indicted for Winning $410,000 on Polymarket Using Classified Maduro Raid Intel

Sourced from 7 publications

•A US Special Forces soldier was indicted for allegedly using classified intelligence about the Maduro capture operation to win approximately $410,000 on Polymarket.
•Polymarket said it flagged the suspicious account and cooperated with the DOJ investigation.
•Trump compared the soldier to Pete Rose betting on his own team, though his family has investment ties to prediction market firms.
•The case has intensified debate over whether prediction markets should face formal regulation to prevent insider trading.
•Brazil moved separately to ban prediction markets on elections and sports, reflecting growing global scrutiny of the industry.

Sources

Soldier's arrest over Polymarket bet on Maduro raid fuels insider trading concer...

PBS NewsHour

'Information leakage to our adversaries': When prediction markets spiral out of...

France24

Trump Says He Dislikes Prediction Markets. His Family Invests in Them.

New York Times

Gambling Companies Celebrate Indictments as Pressure Grows

New York Times

Soldier won $410K in Polymarket bets on timing of Maduro capture, US alleges

Ars Technica

Brazil Moves to Ban Prediction Markets on Elections, Sports

Bloomberg

U.S. soldier accused of pocketing $400,000 through bets on Maduro’s capture

Washington Post

Polymarket Bets on Paris Temperature Prompt Investigation After Unusual Spikes

New York Times

What Are Prediction Markets, and Why Are They Causing Controversy?

New York Times

Soldier Involved In Maduro Raid Charged Over Insider Polymarket Bets That Won Hi...

Forbes

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Curated from 7 sources. Every summary is reviewed for accuracy, but may still contain errors. We always link to original sources for verification.