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The US proposed a 15-point ceasefire plan to Iran. Iran has since issued a counterproposal. Will a ceasefire be agreed?

Logged 26 March 2026Expected by ongoing negotiationSignal score 7.8
Meridian logs predictions when we publish stories with pending outcomes — regulatory decisions, mergers, legislation, and announced milestones. We resolve them as Correct, Incorrect, Partially Correct, or Too Early when the outcome arrives. Partial counts as 0.5 in our accuracy score. See full track record →