Prediction Tracker
When we publish a story with a pending outcome, we log it here. When the outcome arrives, we resolve it. See our track record →
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When we publish a story with a pending outcome, we log it here. When the outcome arrives, we resolve it. See our track record →
The US Treasury Department announced a temporary license for Russian oil sales at sea, active until April 11, 2026.
From: US Temporarily Eases Russian Oil Sanctions Amid Middle East Conflict
Expected by April 11, 2026
Oklahoma Senator Markwayne Mullin is pending Senate confirmation to lead the Department of Homeland Security.
From: DHS Shutdown Persists Amid Immigration Reforms and Mullin's Nomination
Expected by pending Senate vote
A bipartisan bill seeks to ban sports betting on Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets, currently under Congressional consideration.
From: Prediction Market Rivals Kalshi and Polymarket Back $35M VC Fund as Regulation Tightens
Expected by Congressional session 2026
Hungary's opposition leader Péter Magyar plans to dismantle Viktor Orbán's rule if elected in the April 2026 elections.
From: Orbán and Magyar Hold Massive Rival Rallies as Hungary's April 6 Election Nears
Expected by April 2026 election
President Donald Trump announced a rescheduled summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping for May 14-15 in Beijing.
From: Donald Trump Reschedules China Summit After Iran Conflict Delay
Expected by May 14–15, 2026
The Trump administration vowed a legal fight to oust Anthropic PBC from all US government agencies over its refusal to remove AI safety guardrails.
From: Trump Administration Defends Blacklisting Anthropic Over Refusal to Remove AI Safety Guardrails
Expected by legal proceedings
Damages in the Elon Musk Twitter acquisition investor-misleading case are yet to be determined by the court.
Expected by pending court ruling
Jerome Powell stated he will remain as Fed Chair until the DOJ investigation into him concludes.
From: Fed Holds Rates at 3.5%-3.75% as Powell Plans to Stay Through DOJ Probe
Expected by duration of DOJ probe
EU summit aims to resolve Hungary's veto over a €90 billion loan to Ukraine. Orbán refused to budge at March 19 summit. Decision expected after Hungary's April 12 election.
From: EU Summit Showdown as Orban Blocks €90 Billion Ukraine Loan Ahead of Hungarian Vote
Expected by after Hungarian election April 12
NASA announced the Artemis II crewed moon mission launch is scheduled for April 1, 2026, with a window through April 6.
From: NASA Targets April 1 Launch for Artemis II Crewed Moon Mission
Expected by April 1–6, 2026
The FCC announced a ban on the import and sale of new foreign-made consumer routers, pending potential exemptions.
From: FCC Imposes Ban on All New Foreign-Made Consumer Routers Over Security Concerns
Expected by pending exemption review
Germany aims to quadruple data centre capacity by 2030, and South Korea plans to invest 750 billion won in AI infrastructure.
From: Germany and South Korea Announce Major AI Investment Plans, India Semicon Growth Projections
Expected by by 2030
The US proposed a 15-point ceasefire plan to Iran. Iran has since issued a counterproposal. Will a ceasefire be agreed?
From: US Sends 15-Point Ceasefire Proposal to Iran via Pakistan to End War
Expected by ongoing negotiation
The Trump administration launched new trade probes to potentially reinstate tariffs on major trading partners.
From: Trump Administration Launches Trade Probes Aiming to Reinstate Tariffs
Expected by within months
The Pentagon announced a $200 billion funding request for the Iran war campaign, pending Congressional approval.
From: Pentagon Prepares $200 Billion Request to Congress for Iran War Campaign
Expected by pending Congressional vote
NASA announced a $20 billion plan to construct a permanent Moon base over seven years.
From: NASA Cancels Lunar Gateway Station, Redirects $20 Billion Toward Permanent Moon Base
Expected by 7-year programme
16 total